New Hampshire Governor Race Odds 2026
Prices as of 2026-11-04 12:09 UTC.
Kelly AyotteR leads at 80% across 1 venue: PredictIt 80%. Cinde WarmingtonD is at 1%.
Market consensus
80%
Kelly Ayotte to win, median of 1 venue
Forecasters
Likely R
Cook, Inside Elections, Sabato consensus
Seat
AyotteR
incumbent running
2024 presidential
D +2.8
statewide margin
Final prices before polls closed
Frozen at 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC. The result is entered when the race is called and scored on the results ledger.
- Polymarket US Kelly Ayotte 85%
- PredictIt Cinde Warmington 19%
- Polymarket Kelly Ayotte 86%
Candidates and prices
| Candidate | Kalshi | Polymarket US | PredictIt | Polymarket | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly AyotteR incumbent Governor since 2025; seeking a second two-year term | — | — | 80% buy 99¢ | — | 80% |
| Cinde WarmingtonD | — | — | 1% buy 1¢ | — | 1% |
Where to trade this race
Every book we know that takes this race, with the price it shows for Kelly Ayotte. The brokers trade Kalshi's contract at Kalshi's price. Partner books pay us a referral fee; the order is paying books first, which never changes a price.
Each book checks age and location at sign-up. How the sites compare.
The race
Seat
Kelly AyotteR
running for re-election · in office since 2025
Ratings
Likely R Cook · Solid R Inside · Lean R Sabato
consensus Likely R, as of November 2, 2026
Last election (2024)
Kelly AyotteR R +9.3
53.61% to Joyce Craig 44.27%
2024 presidential
D +2.8
Primary
September 8, 2026
Filing deadline
—
General election
November 3, 2026
The forecasters' consensus rating is Likely R, favouring the Republican. The markets' consensus has Kelly AyotteR at 80%. What a price means.
Related races
- New Hampshire Senate: Chris PappasD at 99%
- Oregon Governor: Tina KotekD at 70%
- Kansas Governor: Cindy HolscherD at 96%
- Florida Governor: Byron DonaldsR at 98%
- Wisconsin Governor: David CrowleyD at 98%
- Alaska Governor: Jonathan Kreiss-TomkinsD at 98%