Alaska Governor Race Odds 2026
Prices as of 2026-11-03 22:50 UTC.
Jonathan Kreiss-TomkinsD leads at 88% across 4 venues: Kalshi 87%, Polymarket US 88%, PredictIt 93%, Polymarket 87%. Bernadette WilsonR is at 12%.
Final prices before polls closed
Frozen at 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC. The result is entered when the race is called and scored on the results ledger.
- Kalshi Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 87%
- Polymarket US Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 88%
- PredictIt Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 93%
- Polymarket Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 87%
Candidates and prices
| Candidate | Kalshi | Polymarket US | PredictIt | Polymarket | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Kreiss-TomkinsD Running mate Zac Johnson | 87% bid 86¢ · ask 87¢ · OI $178k | 88% ask 89¢ | 93% buy 94¢ | 87% vol $395k | 88% |
| Bernadette WilsonR Running mate Mike Shower | 12% bid 12¢ · ask 14¢ · OI $84k | 13% ask 14¢ | 14% buy 15¢ | 10% vol $296k | 12% |
| Treg TaylorR Running mate Candice English; advanced after Tom Begich withdrew | 1% bid 0¢ · ask 0¢ · OI $39k | — | — | <1% vol $64k | <1% |
| Dave BronsonR Running mate Josh Church | <1% bid 0¢ · ask 0¢ · OI $45k | 1% ask 1¢ | — | <1% vol $57k | <1% |
Where to trade this race
Every book we know that takes this race, with the price it shows for Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins. The brokers trade Kalshi's contract at Kalshi's price. Partner books pay us a referral fee; the order is paying books first, which never changes a price.
Each book checks age and location at sign-up. How the sites compare.
The race
The forecasters' consensus rating is Lean D, favouring the Democrat. The markets' consensus has Jonathan Kreiss-TomkinsD at 88%. The market leader is not the incumbent party, so the markets price a flip. What a price means.
How the Kalshi market resolves
If Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins is elected the governor of Alaska pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Related races
- Alaska Senate: Mary PeltolaD at 69%
- Kansas Governor: Ty MastersonR at 64%
- Texas Governor: Greg AbbottR at 66%
- Vermont Governor: Phil ScottR at 67%
- Georgia Governor: Keisha Lance BottomsD at 72%
- Florida Governor: Byron DonaldsR at 72%