State of the OddsLive prediction-market odds, side by side

Alaska Governor Race Odds 2026

Prices as of 2026-09-19 18:30 UTC.

Polymarket has Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins at 80%. No Kalshi market yet.

Candidate / partyKalshiPolymarketGap
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
80%
vol $45k
Bernadette Wilson
15%
vol $175k
Alaska Governor 2026 — Polymarket · Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins · last 90 days
0%25%50%75%100%JulAugSepPolymarket · Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 80%

How the Kalshi market resolves

If Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins is elected the governor of Alaska pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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