Vermont Governor Race Odds 2026
Prices as of 2026-11-03 22:50 UTC.
Phil ScottR leads at 67% across 4 venues: Kalshi 67%, Polymarket US 66%, PredictIt 67%, Polymarket 68%. Amanda JanooD is at 34%.
Final prices before polls closed
Frozen at 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC. The result is entered when the race is called and scored on the results ledger.
- Kalshi Phil Scott 67%
- Polymarket US Phil Scott 66%
- PredictIt Phil Scott 67%
- Polymarket Phil Scott 68%
Candidates and prices
| Candidate | Kalshi | Polymarket US | PredictIt | Polymarket | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phil ScottR incumbent Governor since 2017, seeking a sixth two-year term | 67% bid 66¢ · ask 67¢ · OI $359k | 66% ask 67¢ | 67% buy 67¢ | 68% vol $214k | 67% |
| Amanda JanooD Economist; Democratic nominee with Vermont Progressive Party alliance; beat Aly Richards 49.1-46.6 in the primary | 35% bid 34¢ · ask 35¢ · OI $324k | 33% ask 34¢ | 45% buy 50¢ | 33% vol $205k | 34% |
| Brian JuddI Independent; 4% in UNH Oct 27-31, 2% in earlier polls (borderline inclusion) | — | — | — | — | — |
Where to trade this race
Every book we know that takes this race, with the price it shows for Phil Scott. The brokers trade Kalshi's contract at Kalshi's price. Partner books pay us a referral fee; the order is paying books first, which never changes a price.
Each book checks age and location at sign-up. How the sites compare.
The race
The forecasters' consensus rating is Likely R, favouring the Republican. The markets' consensus has Phil ScottR at 67%. What a price means.
How the Kalshi market resolves
If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of Vermont pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Related races
- Kansas Governor: Ty MastersonR at 64%
- Texas Governor: Greg AbbottR at 66%
- Georgia Governor: Keisha Lance BottomsD at 72%
- Florida Governor: Byron DonaldsR at 72%
- Ohio Governor: Amy ActonD at 80%