Texas Governor Race Odds 2026
Prices as of 2026-09-19 18:30 UTC.
Kalshi has Greg Abbott at 78%; Polymarket has Greg Abbott (R) at 80%.
| Candidate / party | Kalshi | Polymarket | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gina Hinojosa D | 23% bid 22¢ · ask 23¢ · OI $517k | — | — |
| Greg Abbott R | 78% bid 77¢ · ask 78¢ · OI $150k | 80% vol $54k | -2 pts |
| Gina Hinojosa (D) | — | 21% vol $67k | — |
Texas Governor 2026 — Kalshi · Greg Abbott · Polymarket · Greg Abbott (R) · last 90 days
How the Kalshi market resolves
If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of Texas pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.