Texas Governor Race Odds 2026
Prices as of 2026-11-03 22:50 UTC.
Greg AbbottR leads at 66% across 4 venues: Kalshi 67%, Polymarket US 66%, PredictIt 65%, Polymarket 66%. Gina HinojosaD is at 35%.
Final prices before polls closed
Frozen at 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC. The result is entered when the race is called and scored on the results ledger.
- Kalshi Greg Abbott 67%
- Polymarket US Greg Abbott 65%
- PredictIt Greg Abbott 65%
- Polymarket Greg Abbott 64%
Candidates and prices
| Candidate | Kalshi | Polymarket US | PredictIt | Polymarket | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg AbbottR incumbent Governor since 2015, seeking a fourth term; won the primary with over 80% | 67% bid 66¢ · ask 67¢ · OI $13.6M | 66% ask 67¢ | 65% buy 65¢ | 66% vol $2.4M | 66% |
| Gina HinojosaD State representative | 34% bid 34¢ · ask 35¢ · OI $4.5M | 33% ask 34¢ | 36% buy 37¢ | 36% vol $1.3M | 35% |
Where to trade this race
Every book we know that takes this race, with the price it shows for Greg Abbott. The brokers trade Kalshi's contract at Kalshi's price. Partner books pay us a referral fee; the order is paying books first, which never changes a price.
Each book checks age and location at sign-up. How the sites compare.
The race
The forecasters' consensus rating is Lean R, favouring the Republican. The markets' consensus has Greg AbbottR at 66%. What a price means.
How the Kalshi market resolves
If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of Texas pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Related races
- Texas Senate: James TalaricoD at 74%
- Kansas Governor: Ty MastersonR at 64%
- Vermont Governor: Phil ScottR at 67%
- Georgia Governor: Keisha Lance BottomsD at 72%
- Florida Governor: Byron DonaldsR at 72%
- Ohio Governor: Amy ActonD at 80%