Florida Governor Race Odds 2026
Prices as of 2026-11-03 22:50 UTC.
Byron DonaldsR leads at 72% across 4 venues: Kalshi 73%, Polymarket US 73%, PredictIt 68%, Polymarket 72%. David JollyD is at 28%.
Final prices before polls closed
Frozen at 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC. The result is entered when the race is called and scored on the results ledger.
- Kalshi Byron Donalds 72%
- Polymarket US Byron Donalds 72%
- PredictIt Byron Donalds 68%
- Polymarket Byron Donalds 70%
Candidates and prices
| Candidate | Kalshi | Polymarket US | PredictIt | Polymarket | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Byron DonaldsR U.S. representative; running mate Bryan Avila | 73% bid 72¢ · ask 73¢ · OI $13.1M | 73% ask 74¢ | 68% buy 69¢ | 72% vol $2.1M | 72% |
| David JollyD Former Republican U.S. representative; running mate Gwen Graham | 28% bid 27¢ · ask 28¢ · OI $4.8M | 27% ask 28¢ | 35% buy 36¢ | 28% vol $1.2M | 28% |
Where to trade this race
Every book we know that takes this race, with the price it shows for Byron Donalds. The brokers trade Kalshi's contract at Kalshi's price. Partner books pay us a referral fee; the order is paying books first, which never changes a price.
Each book checks age and location at sign-up. How the sites compare.
The race
The forecasters' consensus rating is Lean R, favouring the Republican. The markets' consensus has Byron DonaldsR at 72%. What a price means.
How the Kalshi market resolves
If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of Florida pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Related races
- Florida Senate: Ashley MoodyR at 90%
- Kansas Governor: Ty MastersonR at 64%
- Texas Governor: Greg AbbottR at 66%
- Vermont Governor: Phil ScottR at 67%
- Georgia Governor: Keisha Lance BottomsD at 72%
- Ohio Governor: Amy ActonD at 80%