State of the OddsLive prediction-market odds, side by side

Florida Governor Race Odds 2026

Prices as of 2026-09-19 18:30 UTC.

Kalshi has Byron Donalds at 79%; Polymarket has Byron Donalds (R) at 80%.

Candidate / partyKalshiPolymarketGap
David Jolly D22%
bid 21¢ · ask 22¢ · OI $376k
20%
vol $38k
+2 pts
Byron Donalds R79%
bid 79¢ · ask 80¢ · OI $1.0M
Byron Donalds (R)
80%
vol $46k
Florida Governor 2026 — Kalshi · Byron Donalds · Polymarket · Byron Donalds (R) · last 90 days
0%25%50%75%100%JulAugSepPolymarket · Byron Donalds (R) 80%Kalshi · Byron Donalds 79%

How the Kalshi market resolves

If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of Florida pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

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