Florida Senate Race Odds 2026
Prices as of 2026-09-19 18:30 UTC.
Kalshi has Ashley Moody at 90%; Polymarket has Ashley Moody (R) at 92%.
| Candidate / party | Kalshi | Polymarket | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Angie Nixon D | 12% bid 11¢ · ask 12¢ · OI $358k | 8% vol $58k | +3 pts |
| Ashley Moody R | 90% bid 89¢ · ask 90¢ · OI $184k | 92% vol $58k | -2 pts |
Florida Senate 2026 — Kalshi · Ashley Moody · Polymarket · Ashley Moody (R) · last 90 days
How the Kalshi market resolves
If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Florida for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.