South Carolina Senate Race Odds 2026
Prices as of 2026-11-03 22:50 UTC.
Darline GrahamR leads at 70% across 4 venues: Kalshi 70%, Polymarket US 70%, PredictIt 66%, Polymarket 72%. Annie AndrewsD is at 30%.
Final prices before polls closed
Frozen at 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC. The result is entered when the race is called and scored on the results ledger.
- Kalshi Darline Graham 71%
- Polymarket US Darline Graham 70%
- PredictIt Darline Graham 66%
- Polymarket Darline Graham 70%
Candidates and prices
| Candidate | Kalshi | Polymarket US | PredictIt | Polymarket | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darline GrahamR incumbent Appointed July 2026 after Lindsey Graham's death; won the special GOP runoff over Ralph Norman with 52.5% | 70% bid 70¢ · ask 71¢ · OI $2.3M | 70% ask 71¢ | 66% buy 72¢ | 72% vol $1.1M | 70% |
| Annie AndrewsD Won the Democratic primary with 61.5% | 31% bid 30¢ · ask 31¢ · OI $3.1M | 30% ask 31¢ | 29% buy 30¢ | 30% vol $1.2M | 30% |
Where to trade this race
Every book we know that takes this race, with the price it shows for Darline Graham. The brokers trade Kalshi's contract at Kalshi's price. Partner books pay us a referral fee; the order is paying books first, which never changes a price.
Each book checks age and location at sign-up. How the sites compare.
The race
The forecasters' consensus rating is Lean R, favouring the Republican. The markets' consensus has Darline GrahamR at 70%. What a price means.
How the Kalshi market resolves
If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of South Carolina for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Related races
- South Carolina Governor: Alan WilsonR at 93%
- Iowa Senate: Josh TurekD at 50%
- Kansas Senate: Adam HamiltonD at 66%
- Alaska Senate: Mary PeltolaD at 69%
- Maine Senate: Troy JacksonD at 69%
- Nebraska Senate: Pete RickettsR at 72%