Iowa Senate Race Odds 2026
Prices as of 2026-09-19 18:30 UTC.
Kalshi has Ashley Hinson at 61%; Polymarket has Ashley Hinson (R) at 62%.
| Candidate / party | Kalshi | Polymarket | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Turek D | 41% bid 40¢ · ask 41¢ · OI $925k | 39% vol $189k | +2 pts |
| Ashley Hinson R | 61% bid 60¢ · ask 61¢ · OI $740k | 62% vol $199k | -1 pts |
Iowa Senate 2026 — Kalshi · Ashley Hinson · Polymarket · Ashley Hinson (R) · last 90 days
How the Kalshi market resolves
If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Iowa for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.