Alaska Senate Race Odds 2026
Prices as of 2026-09-19 18:30 UTC.
Kalshi has Democratic party at 70%; Polymarket has Mary Peltola at 72%.
| Candidate / party | Kalshi | Polymarket | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic party D | 70% bid 68¢ · ask 70¢ · OI $297k | — | — |
| Republican party R | 32% bid 31¢ · ask 32¢ · OI $303k | — | — |
| Mary Peltola | — | 72% vol $289k | — |
| Sen. Dan Sullivan | — | 28% vol $163k | — |
Alaska Senate 2026 — Kalshi · Democratic party · Polymarket · Mary Peltola · last 90 days
How the Kalshi market resolves
If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Alaska for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.