State of the OddsUS election odds from every prediction market

Nebraska Senate Race Odds 2026

Prices as of 2026-11-03 22:50 UTC.

Pete RickettsR leads at 72% across 4 venues: Kalshi 72%, Polymarket US 72%, PredictIt 70%, Polymarket 72%. Dan OsbornI is at 28%.

Market consensus
72%
Pete Ricketts to win, median of 4 venues
Forecasters
Lean R
Cook, Inside Elections, Sabato consensus
Seat
RickettsR
incumbent running
2024 presidential
R +20.5
statewide margin

Final prices before polls closed

Frozen at 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC. The result is entered when the race is called and scored on the results ledger.

Candidates and prices

CandidateKalshiPolymarket USPredictItPolymarketConsensus
Pete RickettsR incumbent
Appointed January 2023, won the 2024 special election; seeking first full term
72%
bid 71¢ · ask 72¢ · OI $2.0M
72%
ask 73¢
70%
buy 74¢
72%
vol $1.5M
72%
Dan OsbornI
Independent former union leader; backed by the state Democratic Party after nominee Cindy Burbank withdrew in July
28%
bid 27¢ · ask 28¢ · OI $1.3M
27%
ask 28¢
30%
buy 32¢
28%
vol $1.1M
28%

Where to trade this race

Every book we know that takes this race, with the price it shows for Pete Ricketts. The brokers trade Kalshi's contract at Kalshi's price. Partner books pay us a referral fee; the order is paying books first, which never changes a price.

Each book checks age and location at sign-up. How the sites compare.

Nebraska Senate 2026 · Kalshi · Pete Ricketts · Polymarket · Pete Ricketts (R) · last 90 days
0%25%50%75%100%SepOctNovPolymarket · Pete Ricketts (R) 72%Kalshi · Pete Ricketts 67%

The race

Seat
Pete RickettsR
running for re-election · in office since 2023
Ratings
Lean R Cook · Lean R Inside · Lean R Sabato
consensus Lean R, as of November 2, 2026
Last election (2024)
Pete RickettsR R +25.2
62.6% to Preston Love Jr. 37.4%
2024 presidential
R +20.5
Primary
May 12, 2026
Filing deadline
March 1, 2026
General election
November 3, 2026

The forecasters' consensus rating is Lean R, favouring the Republican. The markets' consensus has Pete RickettsR at 72%. What a price means.

How the Kalshi market resolves

If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Nebraska for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related races

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