State of the OddsUS election odds from every prediction market

Nebraska Governor Race Odds 2026

Prices as of 2026-11-03 22:50 UTC.

Jim PillenR leads at 89% across 4 venues: Kalshi 88%, Polymarket US 89%, PredictIt 93%, Polymarket 88%. Lynne WalzD is at 11%.

Market consensus
89%
Jim Pillen to win, median of 4 venues
Forecasters
Likely R
Cook, Inside Elections, Sabato consensus
Seat
PillenR
incumbent running
2024 presidential
R +20.5
statewide margin

Final prices before polls closed

Frozen at 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC. The result is entered when the race is called and scored on the results ledger.

Candidates and prices

CandidateKalshiPolymarket USPredictItPolymarketConsensus
Jim PillenR incumbent
Governor since 2023; running mate Joe Kelly
88%
bid 87¢ · ask 88¢ · OI $127k
89%
ask 90¢
93%
buy 93¢
88%
vol $42k
89%
Lynne WalzD
Running mate Ben Steffen
12%
bid 11¢ · ask 12¢ · OI $69k
11%
ask 12¢
8%
buy 23¢
12%
vol $45k
11%
Brett LindstromO
America First party line, ran as an independent; 7% in National Public Affairs (R) Oct 2-5; not listed in the two latest polls
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Where to trade this race

Every book we know that takes this race, with the price it shows for Jim Pillen. The brokers trade Kalshi's contract at Kalshi's price. Partner books pay us a referral fee; the order is paying books first, which never changes a price.

Each book checks age and location at sign-up. How the sites compare.

Nebraska Governor 2026 · Kalshi · Jim Pillen · Polymarket · Jim Pillen (R) · last 90 days
0%25%50%75%100%SepOctNovKalshi · Jim Pillen 90%Polymarket · Jim Pillen (R) 88%

The race

Seat
Jim PillenR
running for re-election · in office since 2023
Ratings
Lean R Cook · Likely R Inside · Likely R Sabato
consensus Likely R, as of October 29, 2026
Last election (2022)
Jim PillenR R +23.2
59.22% to Carol Blood 35.98%
2024 presidential
R +20.5
Primary
May 12, 2026
Filing deadline
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General election
November 3, 2026

The forecasters' consensus rating is Likely R, favouring the Republican. The markets' consensus has Jim PillenR at 89%. What a price means.

How the Kalshi market resolves

If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of Nebraska pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

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