State of the OddsUS election odds from every prediction market

Kansas Governor Race Odds 2026

Prices as of 2026-11-03 22:50 UTC.

Ty MastersonR leads at 64% across 3 venues: Polymarket US 64%, PredictIt 62%, Polymarket 64%. Cindy HolscherD is at 36%.

Market consensus
64%
Ty Masterson to win, median of 3 venues
Forecasters
Lean R
Cook, Inside Elections, Sabato consensus
Seat
KellyD
open seat
2024 presidential
R +16.1
statewide margin

Final prices before polls closed

Frozen at 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC. The result is entered when the race is called and scored on the results ledger.

Candidates and prices

CandidateKalshiPolymarket USPredictItPolymarketConsensus
Ty MastersonR
Running mate Jeff Klemp
—64%
ask 65¢
62%
buy 62¢
64%
vol $200k
64%
Cindy HolscherD
Running mate KC Ohaebosim
—36%
ask 37¢
38%
buy 41¢
36%
vol $259k
36%

Where to trade this race

Every book we know that takes this race, with the price it shows for Ty Masterson. The brokers trade Kalshi's contract at Kalshi's price. Partner books pay us a referral fee; the order is paying books first, which never changes a price.

Each book checks age and location at sign-up. How the sites compare.

Kansas Governor 2026 · Polymarket · Ty Masterson (R) · last 90 days
0%25%50%75%100%SepOctNovPolymarket · Ty Masterson (R) 64%

The race

Seat
Laura KellyD
term-limited · open seat · in office since 2019
Ratings
Toss-up Cook · Lean R Inside · Lean R Sabato
consensus Lean R, as of October 29, 2026
Last election (2022)
Laura KellyD D +2.2
49.54% to Derek Schmidt 47.33%
2024 presidential
R +16.1
Primary
August 4, 2026
Filing deadline
—
General election
November 3, 2026

The forecasters' consensus rating is Lean R, favouring the Republican. The markets' consensus has Ty MastersonR at 64%. The market leader is not the incumbent party, so the markets price a flip. What a price means.

Related races

← All governor races · Midterms overview