Iowa Governor Race Odds 2026
Prices as of 2026-11-03 22:50 UTC.
Rob SandD leads at 87% across 4 venues: Kalshi 87%, Polymarket US 87%, PredictIt 88%, Polymarket 88%. Zach LahnR is at 12%.
Final prices before polls closed
Frozen at 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC. The result is entered when the race is called and scored on the results ledger.
- Kalshi Rob Sand 85%
- Polymarket US Rob Sand 87%
- PredictIt Rob Sand 88%
- Polymarket Rob Sand 88%
Candidates and prices
| Candidate | Kalshi | Polymarket US | PredictIt | Polymarket | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob SandD Running mate Dave Muhlbauer | 87% bid 86¢ · ask 87¢ · OI $842k | 87% ask 88¢ | 88% buy 90¢ | 88% vol $284k | 87% |
| Zach LahnR Running mate Derek Wulf | 14% bid 13¢ · ask 14¢ · OI $2.2M | 12% ask 13¢ | 13% buy 13¢ | 12% vol $215k | 12% |
Where to trade this race
Every book we know that takes this race, with the price it shows for Rob Sand. The brokers trade Kalshi's contract at Kalshi's price. Partner books pay us a referral fee; the order is paying books first, which never changes a price.
Each book checks age and location at sign-up. How the sites compare.
The race
The forecasters' consensus rating is Lean D, favouring the Democrat. The markets' consensus has Rob SandD at 87%. The market leader is not the incumbent party, so the markets price a flip. What a price means.
How the Kalshi market resolves
If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Iowa pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Related races
- Iowa Senate: Josh TurekD at 50%
- Kansas Governor: Ty MastersonR at 64%
- Texas Governor: Greg AbbottR at 66%
- Vermont Governor: Phil ScottR at 67%
- Georgia Governor: Keisha Lance BottomsD at 72%
- Florida Governor: Byron DonaldsR at 72%