State of the OddsUS election odds from every prediction market

South Carolina Governor Race Odds 2026

Prices as of 2026-11-03 22:50 UTC.

Alan WilsonR leads at 93% across 3 venues: Kalshi 93%, Polymarket US 93%, Polymarket 93%. Jermaine JohnsonD is at 7%.

Market consensus
93%
Alan Wilson to win, median of 3 venues
Forecasters
Solid R
Cook, Inside Elections, Sabato consensus
Seat
McMasterR
open seat
2024 presidential
R +17.9
statewide margin

Final prices before polls closed

Frozen at 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC. The result is entered when the race is called and scored on the results ledger.

Candidates and prices

CandidateKalshiPolymarket USPredictItPolymarketConsensus
Alan WilsonR
State attorney general; won the June 23 runoff over Pamela Evette with 68.6%; running mate Mike Reichenbach
93%
bid 93¢ · ask 93¢ · OI $83k
93%
ask 94¢
—93%
vol $55k
93%
Jermaine JohnsonD
State representative; running mate Sam Skardon
7%
bid 7¢ · ask 7¢ · OI $218k
6%
ask 7¢
—7%
vol $38k
7%

Where to trade this race

Every book we know that takes this race, with the price it shows for Alan Wilson. The brokers trade Kalshi's contract at Kalshi's price. Partner books pay us a referral fee; the order is paying books first, which never changes a price.

Each book checks age and location at sign-up. How the sites compare.

South Carolina Governor 2026 · Kalshi · Alan Wilson · Polymarket · Alan Wilson (R) · last 90 days
0%25%50%75%100%SepOctNovKalshi · Alan Wilson 95%Polymarket · Alan Wilson (R) 93%

The race

Seat
Henry McMasterR
term-limited · open seat · in office since 2017
Ratings
Solid R Cook · Solid R Inside · Solid R Sabato
consensus Solid R, as of October 29, 2026
Last election (2022)
Henry McMasterR R +17.4
58.0% to Joe Cunningham 40.7%
2024 presidential
R +17.9
Primary
June 9, 2026
runoff June 23, 2026
Filing deadline
—
General election
November 3, 2026

The forecasters' consensus rating is Solid R, favouring the Republican. The markets' consensus has Alan WilsonR at 93%. What a price means.

How the Kalshi market resolves

If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of South Carolina pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

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