State of the OddsUS election odds from every prediction market

New Hampshire Senate Race Odds 2026

Prices as of 2026-11-03 22:50 UTC.

Chris PappasD leads at 94% across 4 venues: Kalshi 94%, Polymarket US 94%, PredictIt 94%, Polymarket 96%. John E. SununuR is at 5%.

Market consensus
94%
Chris Pappas to win, median of 4 venues
Forecasters
Lean D
Cook, Inside Elections, Sabato consensus
Seat
ShaheenD
open seat
2024 presidential
D +2.8
statewide margin

Final prices before polls closed

Frozen at 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC. The result is entered when the race is called and scored on the results ledger.

Candidates and prices

CandidateKalshiPolymarket USPredictItPolymarketConsensus
Chris PappasD
Won Democratic primary with 65.0%
94%
bid 94¢ · ask 94¢ · OI $512k
94%
ask 95¢
94%
buy 98¢
96%
vol $488k
94%
John E. SununuR
Beat Scott Brown 68.4%-26.6% in the Republican primary
6%
bid 6¢ · ask 6¢ · OI $1.5M
5%
ask 6¢
5%
buy 7¢
4%
vol $339k
5%

Where to trade this race

Every book we know that takes this race, with the price it shows for Chris Pappas. The brokers trade Kalshi's contract at Kalshi's price. Partner books pay us a referral fee; the order is paying books first, which never changes a price.

Each book checks age and location at sign-up. How the sites compare.

New Hampshire Senate 2026 · Kalshi · Chris Pappas · Polymarket · Chris Pappas (D) · last 90 days
0%25%50%75%100%SepOctNovPolymarket · Chris Pappas (D) 96%Kalshi · Chris Pappas 94%

The race

Seat
Jeanne ShaheenD
retiring · open seat · in office since 2009
Ratings
Lean D Cook · Lean D Inside · Likely D Sabato
consensus Lean D, as of November 2, 2026
Last election (2020)
Jeanne ShaheenD D +15.6
56.6% to Bryant "Corky" Messner 41.0%
2024 presidential
D +2.8
Primary
September 8, 2026
Filing deadline
June 12, 2026
General election
November 3, 2026

The forecasters' consensus rating is Lean D, favouring the Democrat. The markets' consensus has Chris PappasD at 94%. What a price means.

How the Kalshi market resolves

If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of New Hampshire for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related races

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