State of the OddsLive prediction-market odds, side by side

Wisconsin Governor Race Odds 2026

Prices as of 2026-09-19 18:30 UTC.

Kalshi has David Crowley at 81%; Polymarket has David Crowley (D) at 84%.

Candidate / partyKalshiPolymarketGap
David Crowley D81%
bid 80¢ · ask 81¢ · OI $227k
84%
vol $316k
-2 pts
Tom Tiffany R19%
bid 19¢ · ask 20¢ · OI $440k
16%
vol $278k
+4 pts
Wisconsin Governor 2026 — Kalshi · David Crowley · Polymarket · David Crowley (D) · last 90 days
0%25%50%75%100%JulAugSepPolymarket · David Crowley (D) 84%Kalshi · David Crowley 81%

How the Kalshi market resolves

If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Wisconsin pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

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