Wisconsin Governor Race Odds 2026
Prices as of 2026-11-03 22:50 UTC.
David CrowleyD leads at 86% across 4 venues: Kalshi 85%, Polymarket US 85%, PredictIt 86%, Polymarket 86%. Tom TiffanyR is at 14%.
Final prices before polls closed
Frozen at 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC. The result is entered when the race is called and scored on the results ledger.
- Kalshi David Crowley 85%
- Polymarket US David Crowley 85%
- PredictIt David Crowley 86%
- Polymarket David Crowley 86%
Candidates and prices
| Candidate | Kalshi | Polymarket US | PredictIt | Polymarket | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David CrowleyD Milwaukee County executive; running mate Sarah Godlewski | 85% bid 85¢ · ask 86¢ · OI $362k | 85% ask 86¢ | 86% buy 86¢ | 86% vol $562k | 86% |
| Tom TiffanyR U.S. representative; running mate David Varnam | 15% bid 15¢ · ask 16¢ · OI $715k | 15% ask 16¢ | 13% buy 17¢ | 14% vol $535k | 14% |
Where to trade this race
Every book we know that takes this race, with the price it shows for David Crowley. The brokers trade Kalshi's contract at Kalshi's price. Partner books pay us a referral fee; the order is paying books first, which never changes a price.
Each book checks age and location at sign-up. How the sites compare.
The race
The forecasters' consensus rating is Lean D, favouring the Democrat. The markets' consensus has David CrowleyD at 86%. What a price means.
How the Kalshi market resolves
If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Wisconsin pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Related races
- Kansas Governor: Ty MastersonR at 64%
- Texas Governor: Greg AbbottR at 66%
- Vermont Governor: Phil ScottR at 67%
- Georgia Governor: Keisha Lance BottomsD at 72%
- Florida Governor: Byron DonaldsR at 72%