Oregon Governor Race Odds 2026
Prices as of 2026-11-03 22:50 UTC.
Tina KotekD leads at 84% across 4 venues: Kalshi 84%, Polymarket US 83%, PredictIt 70%, Polymarket 86%. Christine DrazanR is at 16%.
Final prices before polls closed
Frozen at 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC. The result is entered when the race is called and scored on the results ledger.
- Kalshi Tina Kotek 83%
- Polymarket US Tina Kotek 83%
- PredictIt Tina Kotek 70%
- Polymarket Tina Kotek 86%
Candidates and prices
| Candidate | Kalshi | Polymarket US | PredictIt | Polymarket | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina KotekD incumbent Governor since 2023; Working Families cross-nomination | 84% bid 83¢ · ask 84¢ · OI $352k | 83% ask 84¢ | 70% | 86% vol $173k | 84% |
| Christine DrazanR 2022 nominee; Libertarian cross-nomination | 17% bid 16¢ · ask 17¢ · OI $489k | 16% ask 17¢ | 50% buy 98¢ | 16% vol $118k | 16% |
| Brett SmithG Pacific Green Party; 3-6% in Sept-Oct polls | — | — | — | — | — |
Where to trade this race
Every book we know that takes this race, with the price it shows for Tina Kotek. The brokers trade Kalshi's contract at Kalshi's price. Partner books pay us a referral fee; the order is paying books first, which never changes a price.
Each book checks age and location at sign-up. How the sites compare.
The race
The forecasters' consensus rating is Lean D, favouring the Democrat. The markets' consensus has Tina KotekD at 84%. What a price means.
How the Kalshi market resolves
If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Oregon pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Related races
- Oregon Senate: Jeff MerkleyD at 99%
- Kansas Governor: Ty MastersonR at 64%
- Texas Governor: Greg AbbottR at 66%
- Vermont Governor: Phil ScottR at 67%
- Georgia Governor: Keisha Lance BottomsD at 72%
- Florida Governor: Byron DonaldsR at 72%