State of the OddsLive prediction-market odds, side by side

Oregon Governor Race Odds 2026

Prices as of 2026-09-19 18:30 UTC.

Kalshi has Tina Kotek at 85%; Polymarket has Tina Kotek (D) at 85%.

Candidate / partyKalshiPolymarketGap
Tina Kotek D85%
bid 84¢ · ask 85¢ · OI $39k
85%
vol $27k
+0 pts
Christine Drazan R15%
bid 15¢ · ask 17¢ · OI $89k
14%
vol $27k
+1 pts
Oregon Governor 2026 — Kalshi · Tina Kotek · Polymarket · Tina Kotek (D) · last 90 days
0%25%50%75%100%JulAugSepPolymarket · Tina Kotek (D) 85%Kalshi · Tina Kotek 82%

How the Kalshi market resolves

If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Oregon pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

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