Oregon Senate Race Odds 2026
Prices as of 2026-09-19 18:30 UTC.
Kalshi has Jeff Merkley at 97%; Polymarket has Jeff Merkley (D) at 97%.
| Candidate / party | Kalshi | Polymarket | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Merkley D | 97% bid 98¢ · ask 98¢ · OI $3k | 97% vol $4k | -0 pts |
| David Brock Smith R | 2% bid 2¢ · ask 2¢ · OI $4k | 2% vol $3k | +0 pts |
Oregon Senate 2026 — Kalshi · Jeff Merkley · Polymarket · Jeff Merkley (D) · last 90 days
How the Kalshi market resolves
If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Oregon for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.