State of the OddsUS election odds from every prediction market

Wyoming Senate Race Odds 2026

Prices as of 2026-11-03 22:50 UTC.

Harriet HagemanR leads at 99% across 4 venues: Kalshi 99%, Polymarket US 98%, PredictIt 99%, Polymarket 99%. James W. ByrdD is at 1%.

Market consensus
99%
Harriet Hageman to win, median of 4 venues
Forecasters
Solid R
Cook, Inside Elections, Sabato consensus
Seat
LummisR
open seat
2024 presidential
R +45.8
statewide margin

Final prices before polls closed

Frozen at 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC. The result is entered when the race is called and scored on the results ledger.

Candidates and prices

CandidateKalshiPolymarket USPredictItPolymarketConsensus
Harriet HagemanR
U.S. representative, WY-AL
99%
bid 99¢ · ask 99¢ · OI $14k
98%
ask 99¢
99%
99%
vol $17k
99%
James W. ByrdD
Former state representative
1%
bid 1¢ · ask 1¢ · OI $23k
1%
ask 2¢
5%
buy 8¢
1%
vol $8k
1%

Where to trade this race

Every book we know that takes this race, with the price it shows for Harriet Hageman. The brokers trade Kalshi's contract at Kalshi's price. Partner books pay us a referral fee; the order is paying books first, which never changes a price.

Each book checks age and location at sign-up. How the sites compare.

Wyoming Senate 2026 · Kalshi · Harriet Hageman · Polymarket · Harriet Hageman (R) · last 90 days
0%25%50%75%100%SepOctNovKalshi · Harriet Hageman 99%Polymarket · Harriet Hageman (R) 99%

The race

Seat
Cynthia LummisR
retiring · open seat · in office since 2021
Ratings
Solid R Cook · Solid R Inside · Solid R Sabato
consensus Solid R, as of October 30, 2026
Last election (2020)
Cynthia LummisR R +46.1
72.9% to Merav Ben-David 26.8%
2024 presidential
R +45.8
Primary
August 18, 2026
Filing deadline
May 29, 2026
General election
November 3, 2026

The forecasters' consensus rating is Solid R, favouring the Republican. The markets' consensus has Harriet HagemanR at 99%. What a price means.

How the Kalshi market resolves

If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Wyoming for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related races

← All Senate races · Midterms overview