State of the OddsUS election odds from every prediction market

Wyoming Governor Race Odds 2026

Prices as of 2026-11-03 22:50 UTC.

Eric BarlowR leads at 99% across 3 venues: Kalshi 99%, Polymarket US 98%, Polymarket 99%. Kenneth CasnerD is at 1%.

Market consensus
99%
Eric Barlow to win, median of 3 venues
Forecasters
Solid R
Cook, Inside Elections, Sabato consensus
Seat
GordonR
open seat
2024 presidential
R +45.8
statewide margin

Final prices before polls closed

Frozen at 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC. The result is entered when the race is called and scored on the results ledger.

Candidates and prices

CandidateKalshiPolymarket USPredictItPolymarketConsensus
Eric BarlowR
State senator, 23rd district
99%
bid 99¢ · ask 99¢ · OI $3k
98%
ask 99¢
—99%
vol $11k
99%
Kenneth CasnerD
Ran for governor in 2002 and 2018
1%
bid 1¢ · ask 1¢ · OI $6k
1%
ask 2¢
—1%
vol $3k
1%

Where to trade this race

Every book we know that takes this race, with the price it shows for Eric Barlow. The brokers trade Kalshi's contract at Kalshi's price. Partner books pay us a referral fee; the order is paying books first, which never changes a price.

Each book checks age and location at sign-up. How the sites compare.

Wyoming Governor 2026 · Kalshi · Eric Barlow · Polymarket · Eric Barlow (R) · last 90 days
0%25%50%75%100%SepOctNovKalshi · Eric Barlow 99%Polymarket · Eric Barlow (R) 99%

The race

Seat
Mark GordonR
term-limited · open seat · in office since 2019
Ratings
Solid R Cook · Solid R Inside · Solid R Sabato
consensus Solid R, as of October 29, 2026
Last election (2022)
Mark GordonR R +58.3
74.1% to Theresa Livingston 15.8%
2024 presidential
R +45.8
Primary
August 18, 2026
Filing deadline
—
General election
November 3, 2026

The forecasters' consensus rating is Solid R, favouring the Republican. The markets' consensus has Eric BarlowR at 99%. What a price means.

How the Kalshi market resolves

If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of Wyoming pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related races

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