Tennessee Senate Race Odds 2026
Prices as of 2026-11-03 22:50 UTC.
Bill HagertyR leads at 98% across 4 venues: Kalshi 98%, Polymarket US 98%, PredictIt 97%, Polymarket 98%. Marquita BradshawD is at 2%.
Final prices before polls closed
Frozen at 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC. The result is entered when the race is called and scored on the results ledger.
- Kalshi Bill Hagerty 98%
- Polymarket US Bill Hagerty 98%
- PredictIt Bill Hagerty 97%
- Polymarket Bill Hagerty 98%
Candidates and prices
| Candidate | Kalshi | Polymarket US | PredictIt | Polymarket | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bill HagertyR incumbent Senator since 2021, seeking a second term | 98% bid 98¢ · ask 98¢ · OI $166k | 98% ask 99¢ | 97% buy 98¢ | 98% vol $68k | 98% |
| Marquita BradshawD 2020 nominee for this seat; a rematch | 2% bid 2¢ · ask 2¢ · OI $167k | 1% ask 2¢ | 2% buy 3¢ | 2% vol $61k | 2% |
Where to trade this race
Every book we know that takes this race, with the price it shows for Bill Hagerty. The brokers trade Kalshi's contract at Kalshi's price. Partner books pay us a referral fee; the order is paying books first, which never changes a price.
Each book checks age and location at sign-up. How the sites compare.
The race
The forecasters' consensus rating is Solid R, favouring the Republican. The markets' consensus has Bill HagertyR at 98%. What a price means.
How the Kalshi market resolves
If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Tennessee for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Related races
- Tennessee Governor: Marsha BlackburnR at 92%
- Iowa Senate: Josh TurekD at 50%
- Kansas Senate: Adam HamiltonD at 66%
- Alaska Senate: Mary PeltolaD at 69%
- Maine Senate: Troy JacksonD at 69%
- South Carolina Senate: Darline GrahamR at 70%