Tennessee Senate Race Odds 2026
Prices as of 2026-09-19 18:30 UTC.
Kalshi has Bill Hagerty at 96%; Polymarket has Bill Hagerty (R) at 96%.
| Candidate / party | Kalshi | Polymarket | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marquita Bradshaw D | 4% bid 3¢ · ask 4¢ · OI $12k | 4% vol $10k | +0 pts |
| Bill Hagerty R | 96% bid 96¢ · ask 98¢ · OI $4k | 96% vol $20k | -0 pts |
Tennessee Senate 2026 — Kalshi · Bill Hagerty · Polymarket · Bill Hagerty (R) · last 90 days
How the Kalshi market resolves
If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Tennessee for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.