Tennessee Governor Race Odds 2026
Prices as of 2026-11-03 22:50 UTC.
Marsha BlackburnR leads at 92% across 3 venues: Kalshi 92%, Polymarket US 92%, Polymarket 93%. Jerri GreenD is at 7%.
Final prices before polls closed
Frozen at 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC. The result is entered when the race is called and scored on the results ledger.
- Kalshi Marsha Blackburn 92%
- Polymarket US Marsha Blackburn 92%
- Polymarket Marsha Blackburn 93%
Candidates and prices
| Candidate | Kalshi | Polymarket US | PredictIt | Polymarket | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marsha BlackburnR U.S. senator; won the Aug 6 primary with 43.4% | 92% bid 92¢ · ask 92¢ · OI $291k | 92% ask 93¢ | — | 93% vol $94k | 92% |
| Jerri GreenD Memphis city councilor | 8% bid 8¢ · ask 8¢ · OI $361k | 7% ask 8¢ | — | 7% vol $45k | 7% |
| David HatleyI Businessman; 26% in GOTV Oct 25-26 poll, 12% in Spry Oct 10-15; endorsed by the Reform Party | 2% bid 0¢ · ask 2¢ · OI $187k | — | — | — | 2% |
Where to trade this race
Every book we know that takes this race, with the price it shows for Marsha Blackburn. The brokers trade Kalshi's contract at Kalshi's price. Partner books pay us a referral fee; the order is paying books first, which never changes a price.
Each book checks age and location at sign-up. How the sites compare.
The race
The forecasters' consensus rating is Solid R, favouring the Republican. The markets' consensus has Marsha BlackburnR at 92%. What a price means.
How the Kalshi market resolves
If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of Tennessee pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Related races
- Tennessee Senate: Bill HagertyR at 98%
- Kansas Governor: Ty MastersonR at 64%
- Texas Governor: Greg AbbottR at 66%
- Vermont Governor: Phil ScottR at 67%
- Georgia Governor: Keisha Lance BottomsD at 72%
- Florida Governor: Byron DonaldsR at 72%