Rhode Island Senate Race Odds 2026
Prices as of 2026-11-03 22:50 UTC.
Jack ReedD leads at 100% across 3 venues: Kalshi 100%, PredictIt 99%, Polymarket 100%. Raymond McKayR is at <1%.
Final prices before polls closed
Frozen at 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC. The result is entered when the race is called and scored on the results ledger.
- Kalshi Jack Reed 99%
- Polymarket US Raymond McKay 1%
- PredictIt Jack Reed 99%
- Polymarket Jack Reed 100%
Candidates and prices
| Candidate | Kalshi | Polymarket US | PredictIt | Polymarket | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack ReedD incumbent Senator since 1997, seeking a sixth term | 100% bid 99¢ · ask 100¢ · OI $14k | — | 99% | 100% vol $11k | 100% |
| Raymond McKayR 2024 Senate candidate, former state GOP central committee member | <1% bid 0¢ · ask 1¢ · OI $42k | 1% ask 2¢ | 4% buy 2¢ | <1% vol $22k | <1% |
Where to trade this race
Every book we know that takes this race, with the price it shows for Jack Reed. The brokers trade Kalshi's contract at Kalshi's price. Partner books pay us a referral fee; the order is paying books first, which never changes a price.
Each book checks age and location at sign-up. How the sites compare.
The race
The forecasters' consensus rating is Solid D, favouring the Democrat. The markets' consensus has Jack ReedD at 100%. What a price means.
How the Kalshi market resolves
If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Rhode Island for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Related races
- Rhode Island Governor: Helena FoulkesD at 98%
- Iowa Senate: Josh TurekD at 50%
- Kansas Senate: Adam HamiltonD at 66%
- Alaska Senate: Mary PeltolaD at 69%
- Maine Senate: Troy JacksonD at 69%
- South Carolina Senate: Darline GrahamR at 70%