State of the OddsUS election odds from every prediction market

Rhode Island Governor Race Odds 2026

Prices as of 2026-11-03 22:50 UTC.

Helena FoulkesD leads at 98% across 4 venues: Kalshi 98%, Polymarket US 98%, PredictIt 99%, Polymarket 98%. Aaron GuckianR is at 1%.

Market consensus
98%
Helena Foulkes to win, median of 4 venues
Forecasters
Solid D
Cook, Inside Elections, Sabato consensus
Seat
McKeeD
open seat
2024 presidential
D +13.8
statewide margin

Final prices before polls closed

Frozen at 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC. The result is entered when the race is called and scored on the results ledger.

Candidates and prices

CandidateKalshiPolymarket USPredictItPolymarketConsensus
Helena FoulkesD
Former CVS executive; defeated Gov. McKee in the Sept 9 primary
98%
bid 98¢ · ask 98¢ · OI $73k
98%
ask 99¢
99%
buy 99¢
98%
vol $62k
98%
Aaron GuckianR
2022 lieutenant governor nominee; won primary 50.6% to 49.4% after a recount
2%
bid 1¢ · ask 2¢ · OI $73k
1%
ask 2¢
6%
buy 9¢
1%
vol $13k
1%
Ken BlockI
Independent; 34% in UNH poll Oct 27-31 (listed as Kenneth Block on the results table)
1%
bid 1¢ · ask 2¢ · OI $73k
1%
ask 2¢
—<1%
vol $3k
1%

Where to trade this race

Every book we know that takes this race, with the price it shows for Helena Foulkes. The brokers trade Kalshi's contract at Kalshi's price. Partner books pay us a referral fee; the order is paying books first, which never changes a price.

Each book checks age and location at sign-up. How the sites compare.

Rhode Island Governor 2026 · Kalshi · Helena Foulkes · Polymarket · Helena Foulkes (D) · last 90 days
0%25%50%75%100%SepOctNovKalshi · Helena Foulkes 98%Polymarket · Helena Foulkes (D) 98%

The race

Seat
Dan McKeeD
lost the primary · open seat · in office since 2021
Ratings
Solid D Cook · Solid D Inside · Solid D Sabato
consensus Solid D, as of October 29, 2026
Last election (2022)
Dan McKeeD D +19.1
57.9% to Ashley Kalus 38.9%
2024 presidential
D +13.8
Primary
September 9, 2026
Filing deadline
—
General election
November 3, 2026

The forecasters' consensus rating is Solid D, favouring the Democrat. The markets' consensus has Helena FoulkesD at 98%. What a price means.

How the Kalshi market resolves

If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Rhode Island pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related races

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