Oklahoma Senate Race Odds 2026
Prices as of 2026-11-03 22:50 UTC.
Kevin HernR leads at 98% across 4 venues: Kalshi 99%, Polymarket US 98%, PredictIt 98%, Polymarket 99%. N'Kiyla "Jasmine" ThomasD is at 1%.
Final prices before polls closed
Frozen at 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC. The result is entered when the race is called and scored on the results ledger.
- Kalshi Kevin Hern 99%
- Polymarket US Kevin Hern 98%
- PredictIt Kevin Hern 98%
- Polymarket Kevin Hern 99%
Candidates and prices
| Candidate | Kalshi | Polymarket US | PredictIt | Polymarket | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin HernR U.S. representative, OK-1 | 99% bid 98¢ · ask 99¢ · OI $28k | 98% ask 99¢ | 98% buy 99¢ | 99% vol $22k | 98% |
| N'Kiyla "Jasmine" ThomasD Nurse | 2% bid 1¢ · ask 2¢ · OI $76k | 1% ask 2¢ | 2% buy 2¢ | 1% vol $9k | 1% |
Where to trade this race
Every book we know that takes this race, with the price it shows for Kevin Hern. The brokers trade Kalshi's contract at Kalshi's price. Partner books pay us a referral fee; the order is paying books first, which never changes a price.
Each book checks age and location at sign-up. How the sites compare.
The race
The forecasters' consensus rating is Solid R, favouring the Republican. The markets' consensus has Kevin HernR at 98%. What a price means.
How the Kalshi market resolves
If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Oklahoma for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Related races
- Oklahoma Governor: Mike MazzeiR at 90%
- Iowa Senate: Josh TurekD at 50%
- Kansas Senate: Adam HamiltonD at 66%
- Alaska Senate: Mary PeltolaD at 69%
- Maine Senate: Troy JacksonD at 69%
- South Carolina Senate: Darline GrahamR at 70%