Oklahoma Senate Race Odds 2026
Prices as of 2026-09-19 18:30 UTC.
Kalshi has Kevin Hern at 97%; Polymarket has Kevin Hern (R) at 96%.
| Candidate / party | Kalshi | Polymarket | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| N’Kiyla Thomas D | 3% bid 1¢ · ask 3¢ · OI $10k | 4% vol $7k | -1 pts |
| Kevin Hern R | 97% bid 96¢ · ask 97¢ · OI $15k | 96% vol $15k | +2 pts |
Oklahoma Senate 2026 — Kalshi · Kevin Hern · Polymarket · Kevin Hern (R) · last 90 days
How the Kalshi market resolves
If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Oklahoma for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.