State of the OddsUS election odds from every prediction market

Oklahoma Governor Race Odds 2026

Prices as of 2026-11-03 22:50 UTC.

Mike MazzeiR leads at 90% across 3 venues: Kalshi 90%, Polymarket US 90%, Polymarket 90%. Cyndi MunsonD is at 10%.

Market consensus
90%
Mike Mazzei to win, median of 3 venues
Forecasters
Likely R
Cook, Inside Elections, Sabato consensus
Seat
StittR
open seat
2024 presidential
R +34.3
statewide margin

Final prices before polls closed

Frozen at 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC. The result is entered when the race is called and scored on the results ledger.

Candidates and prices

CandidateKalshiPolymarket USPredictItPolymarketConsensus
Mike MazzeiR
Former state senator; won the Aug 25 runoff with 50.3%
90%
bid 90¢ · ask 90¢ · OI $221k
90%
ask 91¢
—90%
vol $118k
90%
Cyndi MunsonD
Minority leader of the Oklahoma House
10%
bid 9¢ · ask 10¢ · OI $332k
9%
ask 10¢
—10%
vol $83k
10%

Where to trade this race

Every book we know that takes this race, with the price it shows for Mike Mazzei. The brokers trade Kalshi's contract at Kalshi's price. Partner books pay us a referral fee; the order is paying books first, which never changes a price.

Each book checks age and location at sign-up. How the sites compare.

Oklahoma Governor 2026 · Kalshi · Mike Mazzei · Polymarket · Mike Mazzei (R) · last 90 days
0%25%50%75%100%SepOctNovPolymarket · Mike Mazzei (R) 90%Kalshi · Mike Mazzei 90%

The race

Seat
Kevin StittR
term-limited · open seat · in office since 2019
Ratings
Likely R Cook · Likely R Inside · Likely R Sabato
consensus Likely R, as of October 29, 2026
Last election (2022)
Kevin StittR R +13.7
55.5% to Joy Hofmeister 41.8%
2024 presidential
R +34.3
Primary
June 16, 2026
runoff August 25, 2026
Filing deadline
—
General election
November 3, 2026

The forecasters' consensus rating is Likely R, favouring the Republican. The markets' consensus has Mike MazzeiR at 90%. What a price means.

How the Kalshi market resolves

If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of Oklahoma pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

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