New Mexico Senate Race Odds 2026
Prices as of 2026-09-19 18:30 UTC.
Kalshi has Ben Ray Luján at 97%; Polymarket has Ben Ray Luján (D) at 97%.
| Candidate / party | Kalshi | Polymarket | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Ray Luján D | 97% bid 97¢ · ask 97¢ · OI $8k | 97% vol $17k | +0 pts |
| Larry E. Marker R | 3% bid 2¢ · ask 2¢ · OI $3k | 3% vol $9k | -0 pts |
New Mexico Senate 2026 — Kalshi · Ben Ray Luján · Polymarket · Ben Ray Luján (D) · last 90 days
How the Kalshi market resolves
If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of New Mexico for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.