New Mexico Governor Race Odds 2026
Prices as of 2026-11-03 22:50 UTC.
Deb HaalandD leads at 95% across 4 venues: Kalshi 94%, Polymarket US 94%, PredictIt 96%, Polymarket 95%. Gregg HullR is at 5%.
Final prices before polls closed
Frozen at 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC. The result is entered when the race is called and scored on the results ledger.
- Kalshi Deb Haaland 94%
- Polymarket US Deb Haaland 94%
- PredictIt Deb Haaland 96%
- Polymarket Deb Haaland 95%
Candidates and prices
| Candidate | Kalshi | Polymarket US | PredictIt | Polymarket | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deb HaalandD Former Interior Secretary; running mate Stephanie Garcia Richard | 94% bid 94¢ · ask 94¢ · OI $120k | 94% ask 95¢ | 96% buy 97¢ | 95% vol $79k | 95% |
| Gregg HullR Rio Rancho mayor; running mate David Gallegos | 6% bid 6¢ · ask 6¢ · OI $215k | 5% ask 6¢ | 4% buy 6¢ | 5% vol $58k | 5% |
Where to trade this race
Every book we know that takes this race, with the price it shows for Deb Haaland. The brokers trade Kalshi's contract at Kalshi's price. Partner books pay us a referral fee; the order is paying books first, which never changes a price.
Each book checks age and location at sign-up. How the sites compare.
The race
The forecasters' consensus rating is Solid D, favouring the Democrat. The markets' consensus has Deb HaalandD at 95%. What a price means.
How the Kalshi market resolves
If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of New Mexico pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Related races
- New Mexico Senate: Ben Ray LujánD at 99%
- Kansas Governor: Ty MastersonR at 64%
- Texas Governor: Greg AbbottR at 66%
- Vermont Governor: Phil ScottR at 67%
- Georgia Governor: Keisha Lance BottomsD at 72%
- Florida Governor: Byron DonaldsR at 72%