State of the OddsLive prediction-market odds, side by side

New Mexico Governor Race Odds 2026

Prices as of 2026-09-19 18:30 UTC.

Kalshi has Deb Haaland at 94%.

Candidate / partyKalshiPolymarketGap
Deb Haaland D94%
bid 91¢ · ask 95¢ · OI $14k
Greggory D. Hull R10%
bid 5¢ · ask 10¢ · OI $21k
New Mexico Governor 2026 — Kalshi · Deb Haaland · last 90 days
0%25%50%75%100%JulAugSepKalshi · Deb Haaland 91%

How the Kalshi market resolves

If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of New Mexico pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

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