Michigan Senate Race Odds 2026
Prices as of 2026-09-19 18:30 UTC.
Kalshi has Abdul El-Sayed at 65%; Polymarket has Abdul El-Sayed (D) at 66%.
| Candidate / party | Kalshi | Polymarket | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Abdul El-Sayed D | 65% bid 64¢ · ask 65¢ · OI $1.0M | 66% vol $471k | -1 pts |
| Mike Rogers R | 36% bid 35¢ · ask 36¢ · OI $1.6M | 36% vol $369k | +1 pts |
Michigan Senate 2026 — Kalshi · Abdul El-Sayed · Polymarket · Abdul El-Sayed (D) · last 90 days
How the Kalshi market resolves
If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Michigan for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.