Michigan Senate Race Odds 2026
Prices as of 2026-11-03 22:50 UTC.
Abdul El-SayedD leads at 75% across 4 venues: Kalshi 75%, Polymarket US 75%, PredictIt 75%, Polymarket 76%. Mike RogersR is at 24%.
Final prices before polls closed
Frozen at 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC. The result is entered when the race is called and scored on the results ledger.
- Kalshi Abdul El-Sayed 76%
- Polymarket US Abdul El-Sayed 75%
- PredictIt Abdul El-Sayed 76%
- Polymarket Abdul El-Sayed 76%
Candidates and prices
| Candidate | Kalshi | Polymarket US | PredictIt | Polymarket | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdul El-SayedD Won August 4 Democratic primary with 48.5% | 75% bid 75¢ · ask 76¢ · OI $6.8M | 75% ask 76¢ | 75% buy 76¢ | 76% vol $5.6M | 75% |
| Mike RogersR Republican nominee | 25% bid 24¢ · ask 25¢ · OI $13.3M | 24% ask 25¢ | 26% buy 28¢ | 24% vol $4.2M | 24% |
Where to trade this race
Every book we know that takes this race, with the price it shows for Abdul El-Sayed. The brokers trade Kalshi's contract at Kalshi's price. Partner books pay us a referral fee; the order is paying books first, which never changes a price.
Each book checks age and location at sign-up. How the sites compare.
The race
The forecasters' consensus rating is Lean D, favouring the Democrat. The markets' consensus has Abdul El-SayedD at 75%. What a price means.
How the Kalshi market resolves
If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Michigan for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Related races
- Michigan Governor: Jocelyn BensonD at 93%
- Iowa Senate: Josh TurekD at 50%
- Kansas Senate: Adam HamiltonD at 66%
- Alaska Senate: Mary PeltolaD at 69%
- Maine Senate: Troy JacksonD at 69%
- South Carolina Senate: Darline GrahamR at 70%