Michigan Governor Race Odds 2026
Prices as of 2026-11-03 22:50 UTC.
Jocelyn BensonD leads at 93% across 4 venues: Kalshi 93%, Polymarket US 93%, PredictIt 90%, Polymarket 94%. John JamesR is at 7%.
Final prices before polls closed
Frozen at 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC. The result is entered when the race is called and scored on the results ledger.
- Kalshi Jocelyn Benson 93%
- Polymarket US Jocelyn Benson 93%
- PredictIt Jocelyn Benson 90%
- Polymarket Jocelyn Benson 94%
Candidates and prices
| Candidate | Kalshi | Polymarket US | PredictIt | Polymarket | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jocelyn BensonD Secretary of State; running mate Winnie Brinks | 93% bid 93¢ · ask 93¢ · OI $196k | 93% ask 94¢ | 90% buy 95¢ | 94% vol $374k | 93% |
| John JamesR U.S. Representative; running mate Jay DeBoyer | 8% bid 7¢ · ask 7¢ · OI $476k | 6% ask 7¢ | 10% buy 9¢ | 6% vol $447k | 7% |
| Anthony HudsonL Libertarian; 4% in one Z to A Research (D) poll Sept 28-Oct 1, otherwise marginal | — | — | — | — | — |
Where to trade this race
Every book we know that takes this race, with the price it shows for Jocelyn Benson. The brokers trade Kalshi's contract at Kalshi's price. Partner books pay us a referral fee; the order is paying books first, which never changes a price.
Each book checks age and location at sign-up. How the sites compare.
The race
The forecasters' consensus rating is Lean D, favouring the Democrat. The markets' consensus has Jocelyn BensonD at 93%. What a price means.
How the Kalshi market resolves
If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Michigan pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Related races
- Michigan Senate: Abdul El-SayedD at 75%
- Kansas Governor: Ty MastersonR at 64%
- Texas Governor: Greg AbbottR at 66%
- Vermont Governor: Phil ScottR at 67%
- Georgia Governor: Keisha Lance BottomsD at 72%
- Florida Governor: Byron DonaldsR at 72%