Illinois Senate Race Odds 2026
Prices as of 2026-09-19 18:30 UTC.
Kalshi has Juliana Stratton at 98%; Polymarket has Juliana Stratton (D) at 96%.
| Candidate / party | Kalshi | Polymarket | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Juliana Stratton D | 98% bid 95¢ · ask 99¢ · OI $7k | 96% vol $17k | +1 pts |
| Don Tracy R | 3% bid 2¢ · ask 3¢ · OI $7k | 4% vol $16k | -1 pts |
Illinois Senate 2026 — Kalshi · Juliana Stratton · Polymarket · Juliana Stratton (D) · last 90 days
How the Kalshi market resolves
If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Illinois for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.