State of the OddsUS election odds from every prediction market

Illinois Governor Race Odds 2026

Prices as of 2026-11-03 22:50 UTC.

JB PritzkerD leads at 98% across 3 venues: Kalshi 98%, Polymarket US 98%, Polymarket 98%. Darren BaileyR is at 2%.

Market consensus
98%
JB Pritzker to win, median of 3 venues
Forecasters
Solid D
Cook, Inside Elections, Sabato consensus
Seat
PritzkerD
incumbent running
2024 presidential
D +10.9
statewide margin

Final prices before polls closed

Frozen at 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC. The result is entered when the race is called and scored on the results ledger.

Candidates and prices

CandidateKalshiPolymarket USPredictItPolymarketConsensus
JB PritzkerD incumbent
Governor since 2019; seeking a third term; running mate Christian Mitchell
98%
bid 98¢ · ask 98¢ · OI $236k
98%
ask 99¢
—98%
vol $26k
98%
Darren BaileyR
2022 nominee; running mate Aaron Del Mar
2%
bid 2¢ · ask 2¢ · OI $441k
1%
ask 2¢
—2%
vol $35k
2%

Where to trade this race

Every book we know that takes this race, with the price it shows for JB Pritzker. The brokers trade Kalshi's contract at Kalshi's price. Partner books pay us a referral fee; the order is paying books first, which never changes a price.

Each book checks age and location at sign-up. How the sites compare.

Illinois Governor 2026 · Kalshi · JB Pritzker · Polymarket · JB Pritzker (D) · last 90 days
0%25%50%75%100%SepOctNovPolymarket · JB Pritzker (D) 98%Kalshi · JB Pritzker 98%

The race

Seat
JB PritzkerD
running for re-election · in office since 2019
Ratings
Solid D Cook · Solid D Inside · Solid D Sabato
consensus Solid D, as of October 29, 2026
Last election (2022)
JB PritzkerD D +12.5
54.9% to Darren Bailey 42.4%
2024 presidential
D +10.9
Primary
March 17, 2026
Filing deadline
—
General election
November 3, 2026

The forecasters' consensus rating is Solid D, favouring the Democrat. The markets' consensus has JB PritzkerD at 98%. What a price means.

How the Kalshi market resolves

If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Illinois pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related races

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