State of the OddsLive prediction-market odds, side by side

Idaho Senate Race Odds 2026

Prices as of 2026-09-19 18:30 UTC.

Kalshi has Jim Risch at 92%; Polymarket has Jim Risch (R) at 95%.

Candidate / partyKalshiPolymarketGap
David Roth D<1%
bid 0¢ · ask 1¢ · OI $24k
<1%
vol $15k
-0 pts
Jim Risch R92%
bid 92¢ · ask 95¢ · OI $43k
95%
vol $21k
-3 pts
Todd Achilles (I)
3%
vol $459
Idaho Senate 2026 — Kalshi · Jim Risch · Polymarket · Jim Risch (R) · last 90 days
0%25%50%75%100%JulAugSepPolymarket · Jim Risch (R) 95%Kalshi · Jim Risch 94%

How the Kalshi market resolves

If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Idaho for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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