State of the OddsUS election odds from every prediction market

Idaho Governor Race Odds 2026

Prices as of 2026-11-03 22:50 UTC.

Brad LittleR leads at 98% across 3 venues: Kalshi 98%, Polymarket US 98%, Polymarket 98%. Terri PickensD is at 2%.

Market consensus
98%
Brad Little to win, median of 3 venues
Forecasters
Solid R
Cook, Inside Elections, Sabato consensus
Seat
LittleR
incumbent running
2024 presidential
R +36.5
statewide margin

Final prices before polls closed

Frozen at 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC. The result is entered when the race is called and scored on the results ledger.

Candidates and prices

CandidateKalshiPolymarket USPredictItPolymarketConsensus
Brad LittleR incumbent
Governor since 2019; seeking a third term
98%
bid 98¢ · ask 98¢ · OI $7k
98%
ask 99¢
—98%
vol $24k
98%
Terri PickensD2%
bid 2¢ · ask 2¢ · OI $15k
1%
ask 2¢
—2%
vol $5k
2%
John StegnerI
Former Idaho Supreme Court justice; in the infobox
—————

Where to trade this race

Every book we know that takes this race, with the price it shows for Brad Little. The brokers trade Kalshi's contract at Kalshi's price. Partner books pay us a referral fee; the order is paying books first, which never changes a price.

Each book checks age and location at sign-up. How the sites compare.

Idaho Governor 2026 · Kalshi · Brad Little · Polymarket · Brad Little (R) · last 90 days
0%25%50%75%100%SepOctNovKalshi · Brad Little 99%Polymarket · Brad Little (R) 98%

The race

Seat
Brad LittleR
running for re-election · in office since 2019
Ratings
Solid R Cook · Solid R Inside · Solid R Sabato
consensus Solid R, as of October 29, 2026
Last election (2022)
Brad LittleR R +40.2
60.5% to Stephen Heidt 20.3%
2024 presidential
R +36.5
Primary
May 19, 2026
Filing deadline
—
General election
November 3, 2026

The forecasters' consensus rating is Solid R, favouring the Republican. The markets' consensus has Brad LittleR at 98%. What a price means.

How the Kalshi market resolves

If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of Idaho pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related races

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