State of the OddsUS election odds from every prediction market

Colorado Senate Race Odds 2026

Prices as of 2026-11-03 22:50 UTC.

John HickenlooperD leads at 99% across 3 venues: Kalshi 99%, PredictIt 99%, Polymarket 99%. Mark BaisleyR is at 1%.

Market consensus
99%
John Hickenlooper to win, median of 3 venues
Forecasters
Solid D
Cook, Inside Elections, Sabato consensus
Seat
HickenlooperD
incumbent running
2024 presidential
D +11.0
statewide margin

Final prices before polls closed

Frozen at 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC. The result is entered when the race is called and scored on the results ledger.

Candidates and prices

CandidateKalshiPolymarket USPredictItPolymarketConsensus
John HickenlooperD incumbent
Senator since 2021, seeking a second term; has said this is his final Senate run
99%
bid 99¢ · ask 99¢ · OI $29k
—99%
99%
vol $20k
99%
Mark BaisleyR
State senator from the 4th district (2023-present)
1%
bid 1¢ · ask 1¢ · OI $77k
1%
ask 2¢
1%
buy 5¢
<1%
vol $40k
1%

Where to trade this race

Every book we know that takes this race, with the price it shows for John Hickenlooper. The brokers trade Kalshi's contract at Kalshi's price. Partner books pay us a referral fee; the order is paying books first, which never changes a price.

Each book checks age and location at sign-up. How the sites compare.

Colorado Senate 2026 · Kalshi · John Hickenlooper · Polymarket · John Hickenlooper (D) · last 90 days
0%25%50%75%100%SepOctNovPolymarket · John Hickenlooper (D) 99%Kalshi · John Hickenlooper 99%

The race

Seat
John HickenlooperD
running for re-election · in office since 2021
Ratings
Solid D Cook · Solid D Inside · Solid D Sabato
consensus Solid D, as of October 30, 2026
Last election (2020)
John HickenlooperD D +9.3
53.5% to Cory Gardner 44.2%
2024 presidential
D +11.0
Primary
June 30, 2026
Filing deadline
March 18, 2026
General election
November 3, 2026

The forecasters' consensus rating is Solid D, favouring the Democrat. The markets' consensus has John HickenlooperD at 99%. What a price means.

How the Kalshi market resolves

If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Colorado for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related races

← All Senate races · Midterms overview