State of the OddsUS election odds from every prediction market

Colorado Governor Race Odds 2026

Prices as of 2026-11-03 22:50 UTC.

Phil WeiserD leads at 97% across 4 venues: Kalshi 97%, Polymarket US 97%, PredictIt 99%, Polymarket 97%. Victor MarxR is at 2%.

Market consensus
97%
Phil Weiser to win, median of 4 venues
Forecasters
Solid D
Cook, Inside Elections, Sabato consensus
Seat
PolisD
open seat
2024 presidential
D +11.0
statewide margin

Final prices before polls closed

Frozen at 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC. The result is entered when the race is called and scored on the results ledger.

Candidates and prices

CandidateKalshiPolymarket USPredictItPolymarketConsensus
Phil WeiserD
State attorney general; running mate Lesley Dahlkemper
97%
bid 97¢ · ask 98¢ · OI $194k
97%
ask 98¢
99%
buy 99¢
97%
vol $13k
97%
Victor MarxR
Running mate George Markert
3%
bid 2¢ · ask 3¢ · OI $416k
2%
ask 3¢
2%
buy 4¢
3%
vol $9k
2%

Where to trade this race

Every book we know that takes this race, with the price it shows for Phil Weiser. The brokers trade Kalshi's contract at Kalshi's price. Partner books pay us a referral fee; the order is paying books first, which never changes a price.

Each book checks age and location at sign-up. How the sites compare.

Colorado Governor 2026 · Kalshi · Phil Weiser · Polymarket · Phil Weiser (D) · last 90 days
0%25%50%75%100%SepOctNovKalshi · Phil Weiser 98%Polymarket · Phil Weiser (D) 97%

The race

Seat
Jared PolisD
term-limited · open seat · in office since 2019
Ratings
Solid D Cook · Solid D Inside · Solid D Sabato
consensus Solid D, as of October 29, 2026
Last election (2022)
Jared PolisD D +19.4
58.5% to Heidi Ganahl 39.2%
2024 presidential
D +11.0
Primary
June 30, 2026
Filing deadline
—
General election
November 3, 2026

The forecasters' consensus rating is Solid D, favouring the Democrat. The markets' consensus has Phil WeiserD at 97%. What a price means.

How the Kalshi market resolves

If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Colorado pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

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