State of the OddsUS election odds from every prediction market

Alabama Senate Race Odds 2026

Prices as of 2026-11-03 22:50 UTC.

Barry MooreR leads at 98% across 4 venues: Kalshi 98%, Polymarket US 97%, PredictIt 98%, Polymarket 98%. Everett WessD is at 2%.

Market consensus
98%
Barry Moore to win, median of 4 venues
Forecasters
Solid R
Cook, Inside Elections, Sabato consensus
Seat
TubervilleR
open seat
2024 presidential
R +30.5
statewide margin

Final prices before polls closed

Frozen at 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC. The result is entered when the race is called and scored on the results ledger.

Candidates and prices

CandidateKalshiPolymarket USPredictItPolymarketConsensus
Barry MooreR
Won Republican primary runoff with 55.8% over Jared Hudson
98%
bid 98¢ · ask 98¢ · OI $7k
97%
ask 98¢
98%
buy 99¢
98%
vol $10k
98%
Everett WessD
Won Democratic primary runoff with 54.6% over Dakarai Larriett
2%
bid 2¢ · ask 2¢ · OI $28k
2%
ask 3¢
1%
buy 6¢
2%
vol $9k
2%

Where to trade this race

Every book we know that takes this race, with the price it shows for Barry Moore. The brokers trade Kalshi's contract at Kalshi's price. Partner books pay us a referral fee; the order is paying books first, which never changes a price.

Each book checks age and location at sign-up. How the sites compare.

Alabama Senate 2026 · Kalshi · Barry Moore · Polymarket · Barry Moore (R) · last 90 days
0%25%50%75%100%SepOctNovKalshi · Barry Moore 99%Polymarket · Barry Moore (R) 98%

The race

Seat
Tommy TubervilleR
running for another office · open seat · in office since 2021
Ratings
Solid R Cook · Solid R Inside · Solid R Sabato
consensus Solid R, as of October 30, 2026
Last election (2020)
Tommy TubervilleR R +20.4
60.1% to Doug Jones 39.7%
2024 presidential
R +30.5
Primary
May 19, 2026
runoff June 16, 2026
Filing deadline
January 23, 2026
General election
November 3, 2026

The forecasters' consensus rating is Solid R, favouring the Republican. The markets' consensus has Barry MooreR at 98%. What a price means.

How the Kalshi market resolves

If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Alabama for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related races

← All Senate races · Midterms overview