State of the OddsUS election odds from every prediction market

Alabama Governor Race Odds 2026

Prices as of 2026-11-03 22:50 UTC.

Tommy TubervilleR leads at 91% across 4 venues: Kalshi 91%, Polymarket US 91%, PredictIt 93%, Polymarket 91%. Doug JonesD is at 8%.

Market consensus
91%
Tommy Tuberville to win, median of 4 venues
Forecasters
Solid R
Cook, Inside Elections, Sabato consensus
Seat
IveyR
open seat
2024 presidential
R +30.5
statewide margin

Final prices before polls closed

Frozen at 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC. The result is entered when the race is called and scored on the results ledger.

Candidates and prices

CandidateKalshiPolymarket USPredictItPolymarketConsensus
Tommy TubervilleR
U.S. senator
91%
bid 91¢ · ask 91¢ · OI $155k
91%
ask 92¢
93%
buy 92¢
91%
vol $42k
91%
Doug JonesD
Former U.S. senator
10%
bid 9¢ · ask 10¢ · OI $357k
8%
ask 9¢
7%
buy 19¢
9%
vol $34k
8%

Where to trade this race

Every book we know that takes this race, with the price it shows for Tommy Tuberville. The brokers trade Kalshi's contract at Kalshi's price. Partner books pay us a referral fee; the order is paying books first, which never changes a price.

Each book checks age and location at sign-up. How the sites compare.

Alabama Governor 2026 · Kalshi · Tommy Tuberville · Polymarket · Tommy Tuberville (R) · last 90 days
0%25%50%75%100%SepOctNovKalshi · Tommy Tuberville 93%Polymarket · Tommy Tuberville (R) 91%

The race

Seat
Kay IveyR
term-limited · open seat · in office since 2017
Ratings
Solid R Cook · Solid R Inside · Likely R Sabato
consensus Solid R, as of November 2, 2026
Last election (2022)
Kay IveyR R +37.7
66.9% to Yolanda Flowers 29.2%
2024 presidential
R +30.5
Primary
May 19, 2026
Filing deadline
—
General election
November 3, 2026

The forecasters' consensus rating is Solid R, favouring the Republican. The markets' consensus has Tommy TubervilleR at 91%. What a price means.

How the Kalshi market resolves

If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of Alabama pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

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