South Dakota Governor Race Odds 2026
Prices as of 2026-11-03 22:50 UTC.
Larry RhodenR leads at 98% across 3 venues: Kalshi 98%, Polymarket US 98%, Polymarket 98%. Dan AhlersD is at 2%.
Final prices before polls closed
Frozen at 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC. The result is entered when the race is called and scored on the results ledger.
- Kalshi Larry Rhoden 98%
- Polymarket US Larry Rhoden 98%
- Polymarket Larry Rhoden 98%
Candidates and prices
| Candidate | Kalshi | Polymarket US | PredictIt | Polymarket | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larry RhodenR incumbent Governor since 2025 (succeeded Kristi Noem); won the July 28 runoff over Toby Doeden 70.8-29.2; running mate Tony Venhuizen | 98% bid 98¢ · ask 98¢ · OI $7k | 98% ask 99¢ | — | 98% vol $10k | 98% |
| Dan AhlersD Running mate Steven McCleerey | 2% bid 2¢ · ask 2¢ · OI $11k | 2% ask 3¢ | — | 2% vol $19k | 2% |
Where to trade this race
Every book we know that takes this race, with the price it shows for Larry Rhoden. The brokers trade Kalshi's contract at Kalshi's price. Partner books pay us a referral fee; the order is paying books first, which never changes a price.
Each book checks age and location at sign-up. How the sites compare.
The race
The forecasters' consensus rating is Solid R, favouring the Republican. The markets' consensus has Larry RhodenR at 98%. What a price means.
How the Kalshi market resolves
If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of South Dakota pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Related races
- South Dakota Senate: Mike RoundsR at 95%
- Kansas Governor: Ty MastersonR at 64%
- Texas Governor: Greg AbbottR at 66%
- Vermont Governor: Phil ScottR at 67%
- Georgia Governor: Keisha Lance BottomsD at 72%
- Florida Governor: Byron DonaldsR at 72%