State of the OddsUS election odds from every prediction market

Arkansas Governor Race Odds 2026

Prices as of 2026-11-03 22:50 UTC.

Sarah Huckabee SandersR leads at 98% across 3 venues: Kalshi 98%, Polymarket US 97%, Polymarket 98%. Fredrick LoveD is at 2%.

Market consensus
98%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders to win, median of 3 venues
Forecasters
Solid R
Cook, Inside Elections, Sabato consensus
Seat
SandersR
incumbent running
2024 presidential
R +30.6
statewide margin

Final prices before polls closed

Frozen at 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC. The result is entered when the race is called and scored on the results ledger.

Candidates and prices

CandidateKalshiPolymarket USPredictItPolymarketConsensus
Sarah Huckabee SandersR incumbent
Governor since 2023
98%
bid 98¢ · ask 98¢ · OI $9k
97%
ask 98¢
—98%
vol $11k
98%
Fredrick LoveD2%
bid 2¢ · ask 2¢ · OI $16k
2%
ask 3¢
—2%
vol $2k
2%

Where to trade this race

Every book we know that takes this race, with the price it shows for Sarah Huckabee Sanders. The brokers trade Kalshi's contract at Kalshi's price. Partner books pay us a referral fee; the order is paying books first, which never changes a price.

Each book checks age and location at sign-up. How the sites compare.

Arkansas Governor 2026 · Kalshi · Sarah Huckabee Sanders · Polymarket · Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) · last 90 days
0%25%50%75%100%SepOctNovKalshi · Sarah Huckabee Sanders 98%Polymarket · Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) 98%

The race

Seat
Sarah Huckabee SandersR
running for re-election · in office since 2023
Ratings
Solid R Cook · Solid R Inside · Solid R Sabato
consensus Solid R, as of October 29, 2026
Last election (2022)
Sarah Huckabee SandersR R +27.8
63.0% to Chris Jones 35.2%
2024 presidential
R +30.6
Primary
March 3, 2026
Filing deadline
—
General election
November 3, 2026

The forecasters' consensus rating is Solid R, favouring the Republican. The markets' consensus has Sarah Huckabee SandersR at 98%. What a price means.

How the Kalshi market resolves

If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of Arkansas pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related races

← All governor races · Midterms overview