State of the OddsLive prediction-market odds, side by side

West Virginia Senate Race Odds 2026

Prices as of 2026-09-19 18:30 UTC.

Kalshi has Shelley Moore Capito at 97%; Polymarket has Shelley Moore Capito (R) at 97%.

Candidate / partyKalshiPolymarketGap
Rachel Fetty Anderson D2%
bid 1¢ · ask 3¢ · OI $9k
2%
vol $5k
+0 pts
Shelley Moore Capito R97%
bid 97¢ · ask 98¢ · OI $7k
97%
vol $11k
-0 pts
West Virginia Senate 2026 — Kalshi · Shelley Moore Capito · Polymarket · Shelley Moore Capito (R) · last 90 days
0%25%50%75%100%JulAugSepPolymarket · Shelley Moore Capito (R) 97%Kalshi · Shelley Moore Capito 97%

How the Kalshi market resolves

If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of West Virginia for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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