West Virginia Senate Race Odds 2026
Prices as of 2026-11-03 22:50 UTC.
Shelley Moore CapitoR leads at 98% across 4 venues: Kalshi 99%, Polymarket US 98%, PredictIt 98%, Polymarket 99%. Rachel Fetty AndersonD is at 1%.
Final prices before polls closed
Frozen at 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC. The result is entered when the race is called and scored on the results ledger.
- Kalshi Shelley Moore Capito 99%
- Polymarket US Shelley Moore Capito 98%
- PredictIt Shelley Moore Capito 98%
- Polymarket Shelley Moore Capito 99%
Candidates and prices
| Candidate | Kalshi | Polymarket US | PredictIt | Polymarket | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shelley Moore CapitoR incumbent Senator since 2015, seeking a third term; won the GOP primary with 66.5% | 99% bid 99¢ · ask 99¢ · OI $21k | 98% ask 99¢ | 98% | 99% vol $13k | 98% |
| Rachel Fetty AndersonD Won the Democratic primary with 33.2% | 1% bid 1¢ · ask 1¢ · OI $67k | 1% ask 2¢ | 1% buy 3¢ | 1% vol $12k | 1% |
Where to trade this race
Every book we know that takes this race, with the price it shows for Shelley Moore Capito. The brokers trade Kalshi's contract at Kalshi's price. Partner books pay us a referral fee; the order is paying books first, which never changes a price.
Each book checks age and location at sign-up. How the sites compare.
The race
The forecasters' consensus rating is Solid R, favouring the Republican. The markets' consensus has Shelley Moore CapitoR at 98%. What a price means.
How the Kalshi market resolves
If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of West Virginia for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Related races
- Iowa Senate: Josh TurekD at 50%
- Kansas Senate: Adam HamiltonD at 66%
- Alaska Senate: Mary PeltolaD at 69%
- Maine Senate: Troy JacksonD at 69%
- South Carolina Senate: Darline GrahamR at 70%