Virginia Senate Race Odds 2026
Prices as of 2026-09-19 18:30 UTC.
Kalshi has Mark Warner at 98%; Polymarket has Mark Warner (D) at 98%.
| Candidate / party | Kalshi | Polymarket | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Warner D | 98% bid 97¢ · ask 98¢ · OI $4k | 98% vol $16k | +0 pts |
| Bert Mizusawa R | 3% bid 0¢ · ask 2¢ · OI $8k | 4% vol $7k | -2 pts |
Virginia Senate 2026 — Kalshi · Mark Warner · Polymarket · Mark Warner (D) · last 90 days
How the Kalshi market resolves
If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Virginia for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.