Ohio Senate Race Odds 2026
Prices as of 2026-11-03 22:50 UTC.
Sherrod BrownD leads at 72% across 4 venues: Kalshi 72%, Polymarket US 70%, PredictIt 76%, Polymarket 72%. Jon HustedR is at 28%.
Final prices before polls closed
Frozen at 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC. The result is entered when the race is called and scored on the results ledger.
- Kalshi Sherrod Brown 71%
- Polymarket US Sherrod Brown 70%
- PredictIt Sherrod Brown 76%
- Polymarket Sherrod Brown 72%
Candidates and prices
| Candidate | Kalshi | Polymarket US | PredictIt | Polymarket | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sherrod BrownD Won Democratic primary with 89.4% | 72% bid 71¢ · ask 72¢ · OI $3.5M | 70% ask 71¢ | 76% buy 77¢ | 72% vol $1.9M | 72% |
| Jon HustedR incumbent Appointed 2025 to the seat JD Vance resigned on January 10, 2025; unopposed in primary | 29% bid 28¢ · ask 29¢ · OI $4.0M | 29% ask 30¢ | 27% buy 27¢ | 28% vol $1.1M | 28% |
Where to trade this race
Every book we know that takes this race, with the price it shows for Sherrod Brown. The brokers trade Kalshi's contract at Kalshi's price. Partner books pay us a referral fee; the order is paying books first, which never changes a price.
Each book checks age and location at sign-up. How the sites compare.
The race
The forecasters' consensus rating is Lean D, favouring the Democrat. The markets' consensus has Sherrod BrownD at 72%. The market leader is not the incumbent party, so the markets price a flip. What a price means.
How the Kalshi market resolves
If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Ohio pursuant to the Class III (special election) held on November 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Related races
- Ohio Governor: Amy ActonD at 80%
- Iowa Senate: Josh TurekD at 50%
- Kansas Senate: Adam HamiltonD at 66%
- Alaska Senate: Mary PeltolaD at 69%
- Maine Senate: Troy JacksonD at 69%
- South Carolina Senate: Darline GrahamR at 70%