North Carolina Senate Race Odds 2026
Prices as of 2026-11-03 22:50 UTC.
Roy CooperD leads at 98% across 4 venues: Kalshi 98%, Polymarket US 98%, PredictIt 99%, Polymarket 98%. Michael WhatleyR is at 2%.
Final prices before polls closed
Frozen at 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC. The result is entered when the race is called and scored on the results ledger.
- Kalshi Roy Cooper 98%
- Polymarket US Roy Cooper 98%
- PredictIt Roy Cooper 99%
- Polymarket Roy Cooper 98%
Candidates and prices
| Candidate | Kalshi | Polymarket US | PredictIt | Polymarket | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roy CooperD Won Democratic primary with 92.0% | 98% bid 98¢ · ask 98¢ · OI $1.8M | 98% ask 99¢ | 99% buy 99¢ | 98% vol $274k | 98% |
| Michael WhatleyR Won Republican primary with 64.6% | 2% bid 2¢ · ask 2¢ · OI $3.3M | 2% ask 3¢ | 2% buy 3¢ | 2% vol $209k | 2% |
Where to trade this race
Every book we know that takes this race, with the price it shows for Roy Cooper. The brokers trade Kalshi's contract at Kalshi's price. Partner books pay us a referral fee; the order is paying books first, which never changes a price.
Each book checks age and location at sign-up. How the sites compare.
The race
The forecasters' consensus rating is Likely D, favouring the Democrat. The markets' consensus has Roy CooperD at 98%. The market leader is not the incumbent party, so the markets price a flip. What a price means.
How the Kalshi market resolves
If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of North Carolina for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Related races
- Iowa Senate: Josh TurekD at 50%
- Kansas Senate: Adam HamiltonD at 66%
- Alaska Senate: Mary PeltolaD at 69%
- Maine Senate: Troy JacksonD at 69%
- South Carolina Senate: Darline GrahamR at 70%