Montana Senate Race Odds 2026
Prices as of 2026-11-03 22:50 UTC.
Kurt AlmeR leads at 93% across 4 venues: Kalshi 93%, Polymarket US 92%, PredictIt 93%, Polymarket 92%. Seth BodnarI is at 8%.
Final prices before polls closed
Frozen at 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC. The result is entered when the race is called and scored on the results ledger.
- Kalshi Kurt Alme 93%
- Polymarket US Kurt Alme 92%
- PredictIt Kurt Alme 93%
- Polymarket Kurt Alme 92%
Candidates and prices
| Candidate | Kalshi | Polymarket US | PredictIt | Polymarket | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kurt AlmeR Endorsed by Daines, who withdrew minutes before the filing deadline | 93% bid 93¢ · ask 93¢ · OI $499k | 92% ask 93¢ | 93% buy 93¢ | 92% vol $382k | 93% |
| Seth BodnarI Independent, listed in the race infobox | 7% bid 7¢ · ask 7¢ · OI $471k | 8% ask 9¢ | 14% buy 14¢ | 7% vol $110k | 8% |
| Alani BankheadD Won June 2 Democratic primary | <1% bid 0¢ · ask 0¢ · OI $257k | 1% ask 1¢ | 1% buy 1¢ | <1% vol $74k | <1% |
Where to trade this race
Every book we know that takes this race, with the price it shows for Kurt Alme. The brokers trade Kalshi's contract at Kalshi's price. Partner books pay us a referral fee; the order is paying books first, which never changes a price.
Each book checks age and location at sign-up. How the sites compare.
The race
The forecasters' consensus rating is Solid R, favouring the Republican. The markets' consensus has Kurt AlmeR at 93%. What a price means.
How the Kalshi market resolves
If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Montana for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Related races
- Iowa Senate: Josh TurekD at 50%
- Kansas Senate: Adam HamiltonD at 66%
- Alaska Senate: Mary PeltolaD at 69%
- Maine Senate: Troy JacksonD at 69%
- South Carolina Senate: Darline GrahamR at 70%