State of the OddsLive prediction-market odds, side by side

Montana Senate Race Odds 2026

Prices as of 2026-09-19 18:30 UTC.

Kalshi has Kurt Alme at 91%; Polymarket has Kurt Alme (R) at 92%.

Candidate / partyKalshiPolymarketGap
Alani Bankhead D2%
bid 0¢ · ask 1¢ · OI $59k
1%
vol $41k
+0 pts
Kurt Alme R91%
bid 91¢ · ask 92¢ · OI $126k
Kurt Alme (R)
92%
vol $60k
Independent
8%
vol $19k
Montana Senate 2026 — Kalshi · Kurt Alme · Polymarket · Kurt Alme (R) · last 90 days
0%25%50%75%100%JulAugSepKalshi · Kurt Alme 92%Polymarket · Kurt Alme (R) 92%

How the Kalshi market resolves

If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Montana for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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