State of the OddsUS election odds from every prediction market

Mississippi Senate Race Odds 2026

Prices as of 2026-11-03 22:50 UTC.

Cindy Hyde-SmithR leads at 87% across 4 venues: Kalshi 87%, Polymarket US 86%, PredictIt 88%, Polymarket 86%. Scott ColomD is at 13%.

Market consensus
87%
Cindy Hyde-Smith to win, median of 4 venues
Forecasters
Likely R
Cook, Inside Elections, Sabato consensus
Seat
Hyde-SmithR
incumbent running
2024 presidential
R +22.9
statewide margin

Final prices before polls closed

Frozen at 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC. The result is entered when the race is called and scored on the results ledger.

Candidates and prices

CandidateKalshiPolymarket USPredictItPolymarketConsensus
Cindy Hyde-SmithR incumbent
Appointed 2018, elected 2018 special and 2020; seeking second full term; won primary with 80.8%
87%
bid 86¢ · ask 87¢ · OI $716k
86%
ask 87¢
88%
buy 89¢
86%
vol $684k
87%
Scott ColomD
Democratic nominee
13%
bid 13¢ · ask 14¢ · OI $1.0M
13%
ask 14¢
11%
buy 12¢
14%
vol $407k
13%
Ty PinkinsI
Withdrew from the Democratic primary to run as an independent
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Where to trade this race

Every book we know that takes this race, with the price it shows for Cindy Hyde-Smith. The brokers trade Kalshi's contract at Kalshi's price. Partner books pay us a referral fee; the order is paying books first, which never changes a price.

Each book checks age and location at sign-up. How the sites compare.

Mississippi Senate 2026 · Kalshi · Cindy Hyde-Smith · Polymarket · Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) · last 90 days
0%25%50%75%100%SepOctNovPolymarket · Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) 86%Kalshi · Cindy Hyde-Smith 84%

The race

Seat
Cindy Hyde-SmithR
running for re-election · in office since 2018
Ratings
Likely R Cook · Likely R Inside · Likely R Sabato
consensus Likely R, as of November 2, 2026
Last election (2020)
Cindy Hyde-SmithR R +10.0
54.1% to Mike Espy 44.1%
2024 presidential
R +22.9
Primary
March 10, 2026
runoff April 7, 2026
Filing deadline
December 26, 2025
General election
November 3, 2026

The forecasters' consensus rating is Likely R, favouring the Republican. The markets' consensus has Cindy Hyde-SmithR at 87%. What a price means.

How the Kalshi market resolves

If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Mississippi for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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