Minnesota Senate Race Odds 2026
Prices as of 2026-09-19 18:30 UTC.
Kalshi has Peggy Flanagan at 90%; Polymarket has Peggy Flanagan (D) at 92%.
| Candidate / party | Kalshi | Polymarket | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peggy Flanagan D | 90% bid 90¢ · ask 90¢ · OI $172k | 92% vol $62k | -2 pts |
| Michele Tafoya R | 10% bid 10¢ · ask 10¢ · OI $399k | 8% vol $29k | +1 pts |
Minnesota Senate 2026 — Kalshi · Peggy Flanagan · Polymarket · Peggy Flanagan (D) · last 90 days
How the Kalshi market resolves
If a representative of the Democratic (DFL) party is sworn in as a Senator of Minnesota for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.