Minnesota Senate Race Odds 2026
Prices as of 2026-11-03 22:50 UTC.
Peggy FlanaganD leads at 91% across 4 venues: Kalshi 91%, Polymarket US 90%, PredictIt 92%, Polymarket 92%. Michele TafoyaR is at 9%.
Final prices before polls closed
Frozen at 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC. The result is entered when the race is called and scored on the results ledger.
- Kalshi Peggy Flanagan 91%
- Polymarket US Peggy Flanagan 90%
- PredictIt Peggy Flanagan 92%
- Polymarket Peggy Flanagan 92%
Candidates and prices
| Candidate | Kalshi | Polymarket US | PredictIt | Polymarket | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peggy FlanaganD Won DFL primary 59.0% over Angie Craig (39.4%) | 91% bid 91¢ · ask 91¢ · OI $1.6M | 90% ask 91¢ | 92% buy 92¢ | 92% vol $848k | 91% |
| Michele TafoyaR Won Republican primary with 52.1% | 9% bid 9¢ · ask 9¢ · OI $4.3M | 9% ask 10¢ | 10% buy 9¢ | 8% vol $490k | 9% |
Where to trade this race
Every book we know that takes this race, with the price it shows for Peggy Flanagan. The brokers trade Kalshi's contract at Kalshi's price. Partner books pay us a referral fee; the order is paying books first, which never changes a price.
Each book checks age and location at sign-up. How the sites compare.
The race
The forecasters' consensus rating is Lean D, favouring the Democrat. The markets' consensus has Peggy FlanaganD at 91%. What a price means.
How the Kalshi market resolves
If a representative of the Democratic (DFL) party is sworn in as a Senator of Minnesota for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Related races
- Minnesota Governor: Amy KlobucharD at 97%
- Iowa Senate: Josh TurekD at 50%
- Kansas Senate: Adam HamiltonD at 66%
- Alaska Senate: Mary PeltolaD at 69%
- Maine Senate: Troy JacksonD at 69%
- South Carolina Senate: Darline GrahamR at 70%