State of the OddsLive prediction-market odds, side by side

Massachusetts Senate Race Odds 2026

Prices as of 2026-09-19 18:30 UTC.

Kalshi has Ed Markey at 98%; Polymarket has Ed Markey (D) at 98%.

Candidate / partyKalshiPolymarketGap
Ed Markey D98%
bid 98¢ · ask 98¢ · OI $6k
98%
vol $35k
+0 pts
John Deaton R2%
bid 2¢ · ask 3¢ · OI $4k
2%
vol $13k
+1 pts
Massachusetts Senate 2026 — Kalshi · Ed Markey · Polymarket · Ed Markey (D) · last 90 days
0%25%50%75%100%JulAugSepKalshi · Ed Markey 98%Polymarket · Ed Markey (D) 98%

How the Kalshi market resolves

If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Massachusetts for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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