Louisiana Senate Race Odds 2026
Prices as of 2026-11-03 22:50 UTC.
Julia LetlowR leads at 84% across 4 venues: Kalshi 83%, Polymarket US 83%, PredictIt 88%, Polymarket 84%. Jamie DavisD is at 16%.
Final prices before polls closed
Frozen at 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC. The result is entered when the race is called and scored on the results ledger.
- Kalshi Julia Letlow 83%
- Polymarket US Julia Letlow 83%
- PredictIt Julia Letlow 88%
- Polymarket Julia Letlow 84%
Candidates and prices
| Candidate | Kalshi | Polymarket US | PredictIt | Polymarket | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia LetlowR Won Republican runoff 56.9% over John Fleming after Cassidy placed third (24.8%) in the primary | 83% bid 82¢ · ask 83¢ · OI $347k | 83% ask 84¢ | 88% buy 88¢ | 84% vol $127k | 84% |
| Jamie DavisD Won Democratic runoff 79.9% over Gary Crockett | 16% bid 16¢ · ask 17¢ · OI $405k | 16% ask 17¢ | 15% buy 15¢ | 16% vol $107k | 16% |
Where to trade this race
Every book we know that takes this race, with the price it shows for Julia Letlow. The brokers trade Kalshi's contract at Kalshi's price. Partner books pay us a referral fee; the order is paying books first, which never changes a price.
Each book checks age and location at sign-up. How the sites compare.
The race
The forecasters' consensus rating is Likely R, favouring the Republican. The markets' consensus has Julia LetlowR at 84%. What a price means.
How the Kalshi market resolves
If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Louisiana for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Related races
- Iowa Senate: Josh TurekD at 50%
- Kansas Senate: Adam HamiltonD at 66%
- Alaska Senate: Mary PeltolaD at 69%
- Maine Senate: Troy JacksonD at 69%
- South Carolina Senate: Darline GrahamR at 70%