Kentucky Senate Race Odds 2026
Prices as of 2026-11-03 22:50 UTC.
Andy BarrR leads at 97% across 4 venues: Kalshi 97%, Polymarket US 97%, PredictIt 95%, Polymarket 97%. Charles BookerD is at 3%.
Final prices before polls closed
Frozen at 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC. The result is entered when the race is called and scored on the results ledger.
- Kalshi Andy Barr 97%
- Polymarket US Andy Barr 97%
- PredictIt Andy Barr 95%
- Polymarket Andy Barr 97%
Candidates and prices
| Candidate | Kalshi | Polymarket US | PredictIt | Polymarket | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy BarrR U.S. representative, KY-6 (2013-present); Trump-endorsed; won primary with 60.5% over Daniel Cameron | 97% bid 97¢ · ask 97¢ · OI $141k | 97% ask 98¢ | 95% buy 97¢ | 97% vol $47k | 97% |
| Charles BookerD Former state representative, 2022 Democratic nominee; won primary with 47% over Amy McGrath and Pamela Stevenson | 3% bid 3¢ · ask 3¢ · OI $285k | 3% ask 4¢ | 5% buy 4¢ | 3% vol $18k | 3% |
Where to trade this race
Every book we know that takes this race, with the price it shows for Andy Barr. The brokers trade Kalshi's contract at Kalshi's price. Partner books pay us a referral fee; the order is paying books first, which never changes a price.
Each book checks age and location at sign-up. How the sites compare.
The race
The forecasters' consensus rating is Solid R, favouring the Republican. The markets' consensus has Andy BarrR at 97%. What a price means.
How the Kalshi market resolves
If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Kentucky for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Related races
- Iowa Senate: Josh TurekD at 50%
- Kansas Senate: Adam HamiltonD at 66%
- Alaska Senate: Mary PeltolaD at 69%
- Maine Senate: Troy JacksonD at 69%
- South Carolina Senate: Darline GrahamR at 70%